So, Who's Next?

Ya know what I've just come to realize? Something that you couldn't have convinced me of a month or so ago. President Obama is a one term president. Now, that might make you happy or sad, but whichever, it's a forgone conclusion. The reasons for this turn of events include a couple of the most dramatic changes in our lifetimes. The thing is, it didn't happen until only about a week ago. And I missed it until now. Well, actually, like lots of folks, I sort of saw it coming but thought he could work his way through it. Turns out it wouldn't matter who was president, they wouldn't be able to hang on and get reelected. Not even the Gipper. First off the oil spill is a political killer. Now, if it had been plugged a few weeks ago, then it might have been a different story. Then Obama might have gone on to be reelected. A couple of other things that were hurting him that he would surely have overcome are the "bailouts" and "healthcare reform". See, the thing is, by November 2012, both the bailouts and healthcare reform would have proven to be the right things to do. And they may still prove to be good except for the ruin that will be caused by this oil spill. The entire Gulf Coast will be staggering from the problems caused by this spill. Both economically and ecologically. It will surely be affecting the East Coast as well, by then. Once Obama looses that support along with the folks who wrongly blame him for bailouts and healthcare and rightly, perhaps, blame him for inaction on the environment and energy and our inability to affect change in Iran and now Israel, he's done. He'll be seen as a costly mistake. Actually, it isn't his fault on most of this stuff, but that never stopped anyone from voting someone out. Once again, Israel has proven to be unable to control it's military and political might long enough to make peace. Iran will always be a thorn in the side of the world and the oil companies are just naturally more interested in spending their money on finding oil and gas then they will ever be on preparing for serious problems. It may be only one problem out of twenty or thirty thousand wells, but this one mistake will prove to be a greater problem then all of the good from all of the other wells. So, Mr President, what's on your agenda for 2013? And even more importantly, will we have another boob in the Whitehouse or just another mistake?